Bit of a struggle to find a decent angle to look at in tonight's qualifying matches for Euro 2012. There are several would be banker bets around but many of the sides have little to play for. An accumulator of, say, Turkey, Italy, Norway, Spain, Croatia and Israel only offers you around 2/1. With only Turkey and Croatia having anything more than pride to play for there seems little point in chasing so many teams for such a short price.
A couple of games stick out for over 2.5 goals:
Sweden v Holland: have scored 63 goals between them in 18 games with another 14 conceded giving a total of 77 for an average of 4.27 per game. Of course, playing San Marino has skewed the stats slightly but both sides have scored freely throughout qualifying and the game between them in Holland produced 5 goals. Over 2.5 goals at 21/20 looks a good price.
Germany v Belgium: Belgium visit the free-scoring Germans probably needing to win to qualify for the play-offs given that Turkey play at home v Azerbaijan tonight. The game between Belgium and Germany in Brussels last year produced just the 1 goal but the sides have scored 50 goals between them since that match in 16 games that averaged 4.18 goals. Germany, who scored 3 in Turkey last week and happily thrashed England and Argentina at the World Cup last year, will be ready to exploit any openings the Belgians may leave in their search for the win. 8/15 available for over 2.5 goals.
Pick: Sweden v Holland and Germany v Belgium both games over 2.5 goals: 2 singles and a double.
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