Thursday 6 October 2011

Euro 2012 qualifiers 7 Oct 2011

Odds on 1/19 Holland, 1/10 Belgium, 1/10 Portugal and 1/9 France don't attract but you may like to add any to top up an accumulator.


5/4 Germany at Turkey and 4/5 Spain at Czech Republic are very attractive. Both have 100% records and are clearly superior to their opponents. However, both have already qualified and playing away against opponents who must win. Sweden beat Finland 5-0 in June and are 8/13 to win in Finland. Sweden need a win to go 3 points clear of Hungary in 2nd place. Finland cannot qualify.


8/11 Armenia, 3/10 Latvia, 1/2 Denmark and 8/11 England.


Armenia v Macedonia - Armenia's only defeat at home in qualifying came a year ago v Ireland. They managed a 0-0 at home to group leaders Russia in March and comfortably won their other 2 home games. Macedonia's only away win was a 2-0 victory at whipping boys, Andorra. Last month Armenia won 4-0 in Slovakia whilst Macedonia managed a 1-0 win at home to Andorra.


Latvia v Malta - Malta 1 point from 8 games have lost all 4 away from home. Latvia's recent form is good, drawing 1-1 at home with 2nd placed Greece last month and winning away in Georgia the week before.


Cyprus v Denmark - Denmark are level on points with Portugal and Norway at the top of group H and need to win at Cyprus who have 0 wins and 1 point from 3 home games.


Montenegro v England - Montenegro's recent form is poor having lost 2-1 in Wales last month and drew 1-1 at home with Bulgaria in June. England won easily away to both Bulgaria and Wales, did struggle last time out at home v Wales and Montenegro have taken a point at Wembley. But England's away form is strong with 3 wins out of 3.


Picks:

Accumulator of Armenia, Latvia, Denmark and England is 24/5.

Czech v Spain over 2.5 goals at 11/10. Better odds than the Spain win.

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