Saturday, 10 December 2011

Chelsea v Manchester City: Betting preview

Chelsea have shown some inconsistent form this season. They have won their last 2 Premier League games by 3-0, a scoreline they repeated against Valencia in the Champions League last Tuesday. But they have also lost 3 of their last 6, and have been beaten 3 times at home this season. City do not have a good record at Stamford Bridge, winning just once in their last 9 visits, but City have been rewriting records all season and bring a better team in better form than on any of those 9 visits. City match up well physically against Chelsea and should cause lots of problems for Chelsea on the counter. I prefer the 2/1 for a City win than 6/4 Chelsea.

Both Teams Score - this looks the nap bet for this match. Chelsea have scored in every home Premier League game this season, City have not failed to score in any domestic fixture. Both teams have scored in 6 of 7 of Chelsea's home games, and in City's last 7 Premier League games. It's 4/6 both teams score.

Under/Over 2.5 goals - Chelsea have scored 19 in 7 home games, City 24 in 7 away. Only 5 of the combined 28 league games these sides have played in this season have seen under 2.5 goals. 6/7 is available at Betfair for over 2.5 goals.

Under/Over 3.5 goals - Games between last season's top 4 average over 7 goals per game this season, with 4 the least scored. Chelsea's home games and City's away games both average over 4 goals per match. 2 of the last 4 games between these sides at the Bridge have seen 6 goals scored, a 6-0 win for Chelsea and a 4-2 win for City. William Hill and Coral both offer 2/1 for over 3.5 goals.

Anytime goalscorer - It's a toss up between Dzeko and Balotelli to partner City's 11 goal leading scorer, Sergio Aguero, in attack. Dzeko has started the last 3 and may take a rest. Aguero will start and he scored twice on his last appearance v Chelsea when playing for Atletico Madrid in the Champions League. Coral offer 2/1 Aguero scores on Monday.

Picks: 3 x singles: both teams score, over 2.5 goals, over 3.5 goals.

Friday, 2 December 2011

Premier League live games 3 Dec: Betting preview

A few things to consider if you fancy a bet on Saturday's live games:

Newcastle v Chelsea - 4th plays 5th at the newly named Sports Direct Arena (they say it won't catch on) and either would go 3rd with a win, at least until Spurs play Bolton later on Saturday. Newcastle have lost only to Manchester City this season and managed a draw at Manchester United last time out. Chelsea's recent form is not good with 3 defeats in 6 but they are unbeaten at Newcastle since 2006. Newcastle are available at 29/10 with Bwin and the draw also looks good value at 13/5 with 32Red. Chelsea are 11/10.

Under/Over 2.5 goals - Newcastle's home games average 2.5 goals, Chelsea's away games also average 2.5 goals and the last 6 games Premier League games between these sides at Newcastle have all seen less than 2.5 goals. 15/16 is available at Betfair for under 2.5 goals.

Both teams score - 10 of Newcastle's last 11 games in all competitions have seen both teams score. Newcastle have not failed to score at home and Chelsea have scored in 8 of 10 away games this season in all competitions. 4/5 is available that both teams score.

Correct score - if you think both teams will score and that the match will see under 2.5 goals you'll like the 6/1 available that the game finishes 1-1.

Anytime goalscorer - Demba Ba has 9 goals this season and looks good value at 12/5 with Unibet but keep in mind that only 1 of his 9 goals have been scored at home.

Picks: I like the look of the 1-1 draw and all the bets that go with that but I am playing it safe and doing just 1 single bet that both teams score.










Thursday, 1 December 2011

Premier League live games 3 Dec: Betting preview

A few things to consider if you fancy a bet on Saturday's live games:

Aston Villa v Manchester United - the last time Villa beat United at Villa Park was the 3-1 victory in 1995 that led Alan Hansen to declare in the general direction of Alex Ferguson that "you win nothing with kids". United won the double that season and plenty since, including 9 of the subsequent 15 league fixtures between these sides at Villa Park, although the last 3 have ended in a draw. Villa have lost 1 of 6 home games this season, United are unbeaten away. United's second string suffered a humiliating defeat at home to Crystal Palace in the Carling Cup on Wednesday but Ferguson will send out a far superior side this Saturday, and will look to add to 2 successive 1-0 victories away from home in the Premier League. 8/11 is available for a United win but recent history says the draw at 14/5 with Stan James may offer better value.

Under/Over 2.5 goals - 7 of United's last 8 Premier League matches have seen less than 2.5 goals. Villla have 10 goals in 6 home games, United have conceded only 3 away. United have managed just the 1 goal in 4 successive away games. Going all the way back to Hansen's comment again, 12 of the last 15 league matches between these sides at Villa Park have seen less than 2.5 goals. Form and history suggest a low-scoring game and 28/29 is available at Betfair for under 2.5 goals.

1st Goalscorer - I tend to prefer betting on anytime goalscorers but history and form says there might be only 1 goal in this. I like the 5/1 available at Bwin for Javier Hernandez to score first. Hernandez has 6 goals this season, 5 of them have been the first goal.

Picks: under 2.5 goals, Hernandez first goalscorer.

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Thursday, 24 November 2011

Premier League live games 27 Nov: Betting preview

A few things to consider if you want to have a bet on Sunday's live games:

Liverpool v Manchester City - City have dropped only 2 points in the Premier League this season but head to Anfield on the back of a loss to Napoli in the Champions League on Tuesday. Following their only other defeat this season, also in the Champions League, City reeled off 9 straight wins scoring 33 goals in the process, so they have demonstrated an ability to recover from disappointment. Liverpool are currently unbeaten in 9 games in all competitions and are unbeaten at Anfield this season. City have not won in 8 trips to Anfield, and lost 3-0 there in April, but they have been in devastating domestic form this season, particularly on the counter attack away from home. Liverpool are rarely 2/1 to win a home game but the 13/8 available for City to win looks a good price.

Under/Over 2.5 goals - Liverpool's home fixtures average just over 2 goals per game, City's away games average over 5. City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in every domestic fixture this season and have scored 23 in 6 away matches. This game looks to have plenty of goals in it. It's 10/11 for over 2.5 goals and the 27/11 available for over 3.5 goals merits serious consideration.

Both Teams Score - 5 of 6 league games at Anfield this season have seen both teams score. 5 of City's 6 away games in the league have also seen both teams score. Liverpool have only failed to score once in the league at Anfield this season, whilst City have not failed to score in any domestic game. Strongly advise to back the 4/6 available for both teams to score.

Anytime goalscorer - Andy Carroll scored for both Newcastle and Liverpool against City last season. There have been concerns over Carroll's fitness but if he does play he will seriously test City both in open play and at the set-piece. Carroll is currently 5/2 to score anytime. I would check the teamsheet first. Sergio Aguero started on the bench in Naples on Tuesday and saw only 10 minutes action. Aguero is likely to start on Sunday. He has 10 goals in 11 league games, with 4 scored away. The 19/10 currently available for Aguero to score anytime looks good value.

Picks: 6 x singles: City win, over 2.5 goals, over 3.5 goals, both teams score, Carroll anytime (if he starts), Aguero anytime.

Premier League live games 27 Nov: Betting preview

A few things to consider if you want to have a bet on Sunday's games:

Swansea v Aston Villa - the Swans lost at home for the first time this season when Manchester United won 1-0 at the Liberty last week. Villa, yet to win away, have managed 4 draws on their travels but were well beaten at White Hart Lane on Monday night. This game looks like being a tight, low-scoring encounter and I'm not minded to place a bet on a winner either way. The draw offers some value at 5/2 but I advise to hold off.

Under/Over 2.5 goals - there have been 10 goals in Swansea's 6 home games this season. Swansea have conceded only 2 at home and Villa have managed just 6 in 6 on their travels. A price of 5/6 is available for under 2.5 goals and I advise to get involved here.

Both Teams Score - this has only happened once at the Liberty in the Premier League this season. Villa have only kept 1 clean sheet away from home this season and kept no clean sheets away last season. 4 of Villa's 6 away games this season have seen both teams score. It's 4/5 that both teams score and 11/10 that doesn't happen. Another tough call and the advice is to leave it alone.

Picks: 1 single: under 2.5 goals.

Premier League live games 26 Nov: Betting preview

A few things to consider if you want to have a bet on this Saturday's live games:

Arsenal v Fulham - Arsenal are now unbeaten in 9 games in all competitions and have won 5 straight in the Premier League at the Emirates. Fulham have won only once away in the Premier League this season and have never won a game at Arsenal. This is a banker home win with Arsenal rightly favoured at 4/9.

Half time/Full time - Fulham have scored only once in the first half away from home this season. Arsenal are likely to dominate this game from the off and are 11/10 to lead at half time and full time.

Only team to score - Arsenal have conceded twice in their last 5 Premier League home games, Fulham have scored in only 2 of 6 away games. It's 29/20 at William Hill that Arsenal are the only team to score in this game.

Anytime goalscorer - Unibet offer 3/4 that Robin Van Persie continues his outstanding goalscoring form and nets anytime in this game. He's scored 31 times in 29 Premier League games in 2011 and has 7 in his last 4 matches at the Emirates. You should check the teamsheet first though as it is possible Wenger may want to rest Van Persie.

Picks: 4 x singles: Arsenal win, Arsenal HT/FT, Arsenal only team to score, Van Persie anytime (if he starts).

Premier League live games 26 Nov: Betting preview

A few things to consider if you want to have a bet on this Saturday's live games:

Stoke v Blackburn - a few weeks ago this fixture would have been a banker home win but that isn't the case based on current form. Stoke made a good start to the season but have now lost 4 Premier League games on the bounce, including defeats at home to Newcastle and QPR. 19th placed Blackburn have yet to win away this season but have managed to draw 4 of their last 5 on the road. If I had to pick a winner I would lean towards 5/6 favourites Stoke but a decent case could be made for the draw at 11/4 so it's probably best to hold off and look at other factors in this game.

Both Teams Score - Stoke have scored in their last 5 home games in the Premier League, Blackburn in their last 8 away. Both teams have scored in all 6 of Blackburn's away games this season. It's 5/6 at Skybet that both teams score.

Under/Over 2.5 goals - 14 goals have been scored in Stoke's 6 home games, 24 in Blackburn's 6 away. Stoke have only scored 10 goals this season but have played 5 of the top 7 teams. Blackburn have conceded 27. Stoke's last 2 home games have seen 9 goals and there have been 12 in Blackburn's last 2 away. It's 15/16 at Betfair for over 2.5 goals in this game and you might be tempted at the 5/2 on offer at Skybet for over 3.5 goals.

Anytime goalscorer - Jonathan Walters has scored in 4 of his last 5 at the Britannia. Unibet offer 19/10 he scores anytime on Saturday.

Picks: 3 x singles: both teams score, over 2.5 goals and Walters anytime.