Showing posts with label Sergio Aguero. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sergio Aguero. Show all posts

Tuesday, 17 January 2012

Super Sunday betting preview: Manchester City v Tottenham Hotspur

City will again be without the key figures of Vincent Kompany and Yaya Toure. For Spurs Ledley King is likely to miss out with a hamstring injury and Emanuel Adebayor cannot play against his parent club. Spurs haven't won any of the last 3 against City but prior to that won an incredible 10 of 11, including 6 away at City. David Silva (11/4 to score anytime) returned from injury on Monday night at Wigan and City will hope he can provide the spark missing from City's last home game, the 1-0 Carling Cup defeat to Liverpool.

De Jong and Barry will likely anchor the City midfield with Milner possibly taking a position on the right to help Zabaleta/Richards combat the threat of Gareth Bale (7/2 to score anytime) down the Spurs left. Scott Parker gives some substance to the Spurs midfield that was clearly lacking when they lost this reverse fixture 5-1 at White Hart Lane last August. Parker's addition and Yaya's absence makes this match a more finely balanced proposition but Silva's return and the recent form of Aguero (11/8 to score anytime) presents a formidable challenge to the Spurs rearguard, which has kept only 2 clean sheets away from home. It is worth noting that Dzeko (15/8 to score anytime) scored for the first time since early 2 November on Monday night and he tends to score in bunches, inlcuding 4 at Spurs when he started the season with 6 goals in 3 games. City have won 15 straight at home in the Premier League and are priced at a hard to ignore 10/11 to win this. Spurs are 7/2 and the draw is 13/5.

City have conceded only 4 Premier League goals at the Etihad this season but Spurs have scored in 9 successive away games since opening their campaign with a 3-0 defeat at Old Trafford. City have scored at home in 22 successive league games. 8/10 of City's home games this season have seen over 2.5 goals, 7/10 of Tottenham's away games have also seen over 2.5 goals. However, this fixture has seen 1-0 victories for either side in the past 2 seasons in what have effectively been deciders to qualify for the Champions League. It's 8/11 for over 2.5 goals and 4/6 that both teams score. It is also worth noting that 5 of City's last 8 games in all competitions have seen under 2.5 goals, with the figure rising to 7 out of 8 for Spurs. The 11/10 available for under 2.5 goals is tempting given the importance of this game. Spurs could find themselves within 2 points of City or as far off as 8.

Picks: City win at 10/11, under 2.5 goals at 11/10.




Thursday, 24 November 2011

Premier League live games 27 Nov: Betting preview

A few things to consider if you want to have a bet on Sunday's live games:

Liverpool v Manchester City - City have dropped only 2 points in the Premier League this season but head to Anfield on the back of a loss to Napoli in the Champions League on Tuesday. Following their only other defeat this season, also in the Champions League, City reeled off 9 straight wins scoring 33 goals in the process, so they have demonstrated an ability to recover from disappointment. Liverpool are currently unbeaten in 9 games in all competitions and are unbeaten at Anfield this season. City have not won in 8 trips to Anfield, and lost 3-0 there in April, but they have been in devastating domestic form this season, particularly on the counter attack away from home. Liverpool are rarely 2/1 to win a home game but the 13/8 available for City to win looks a good price.

Under/Over 2.5 goals - Liverpool's home fixtures average just over 2 goals per game, City's away games average over 5. City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in every domestic fixture this season and have scored 23 in 6 away matches. This game looks to have plenty of goals in it. It's 10/11 for over 2.5 goals and the 27/11 available for over 3.5 goals merits serious consideration.

Both Teams Score - 5 of 6 league games at Anfield this season have seen both teams score. 5 of City's 6 away games in the league have also seen both teams score. Liverpool have only failed to score once in the league at Anfield this season, whilst City have not failed to score in any domestic game. Strongly advise to back the 4/6 available for both teams to score.

Anytime goalscorer - Andy Carroll scored for both Newcastle and Liverpool against City last season. There have been concerns over Carroll's fitness but if he does play he will seriously test City both in open play and at the set-piece. Carroll is currently 5/2 to score anytime. I would check the teamsheet first. Sergio Aguero started on the bench in Naples on Tuesday and saw only 10 minutes action. Aguero is likely to start on Sunday. He has 10 goals in 11 league games, with 4 scored away. The 19/10 currently available for Aguero to score anytime looks good value.

Picks: 6 x singles: City win, over 2.5 goals, over 3.5 goals, both teams score, Carroll anytime (if he starts), Aguero anytime.