Some things to consider for betting on the live games this Saturday:
Newcastle v Everton - unbeaten Newcastle host an Everton team beaten in 4 of their last 5 league games. Everton were the last team to win at St. James's Park but that victory last season was their only win in 8 trips to Newcastle. 5 of those visits ended in defeat. Newcastle have won 3 of their 5 home games this season, Everton have won 2 of 4 away. Everton might be bolstered by the return of Distin, Neville and Cahill but will be without suspended Fellaini. 13/10 is available at a few firms for a Newcastle win, the draw is around the 9/4 mark with Everton generally 12/5 to win.
Both teams score - this has happened in 6 of the last 8 meetings between the sides at St. James's. Newcastle have scored in all 4 home games since the opening day of the season. Everton have scored in 3 of their 4 away games. Skybet offers 5/6 that both teams score.
Under/Over 2.5 goals - there have been 12 goals in Newcastle's 5 home games this season whilst Everton's 4 away fixtures have seen 11 goals. There have been 23 goals in the last 8 fixtures between the sides at St James's. This makes the 2.5 goals mark a marginal call and the bookies favour under at 8/11, even money for over.
Picks - my tip is the 5/6 that both teams score. I'm inclined to steer clear of other bets on this game. Form indicates a win for Newcastle but if Distin, Neville and Cahill return I think a case could be put forward for Everton to draw, or to repeat last season's win. If both Neville and Distin miss out I would move in on the Newcastle win, both teams score and over 2.5 goals in the game.
QPR v Manchester City - it will be a major surprise if 4/11 City do not win this game. QPR's 1 win from 5 home games was a fortunate victory over 9 man Chelsea. City have won 4 of their 5 away games, dropping points only at Fulham when they drew after leading 2-0.
Handicap - of the 8 away games that City have played in all competitions they have won 5 by 3 or more goals. Bet365 offers even money that City win this game starting with a handicap of -1. City should cover that handicap.
Over 2.5 goals - QPR have scored only 3 at home this season but their 10 games this season have totalled 25 goals, 17 conceded. City are scoring 4 goals per game away from home. 3/5 is available at Betfair for over 2.5 goals. The over 3.5 goals target is also likely to be hit and can be backed at 6/4.
Half Time/Full Time - City have led at half time in 4 of their 5 away games. Only Blackburn have held City at half time in a game City went on to win 4-0. QPR have led at home once at half time. City to win at half time and fulltime is even money at Unibet and Coral.
Anytime goalscorer - Aguero and Dzeko were left on the bench for City's Champions League win at Villarreal. Mancini may bring both back for this game and rest Balotelli. Unibet offers 11/10 Aguero and 6/5 Dzeko to score anytime. Balotelli is 5/4.
Picks - all those featured above: City win, City -1, City HT/FT, over 2.5 goals, over 3.5 goals, Aguero and Dzeko to score anytime (Balotelli if he starts).
Showing posts with label QPR. Show all posts
Showing posts with label QPR. Show all posts
Thursday, 3 November 2011
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