Tuesday 28 February 2012

Premier League betting preview: Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United

Spurs have not beaten United for 26 games in all competitions, a dismal run stretching back 11 years. Spurs are having a great season but are a little inconsistent of late losing 2 of their last 5. Their last 3 games saw them play out a stalemate at Anfield then put 5 past Newcastle before conceding 5 last weekend at Arsenal. However, Spurs have been strong at home this season, unbeaten in 12 since losing 5-1 to Manchester City back in August. United's away form has been excellent in winning 9 of 13 with a solitary loss at Newcastle. United will probably welcome Wayne Rooney back after a throat infection whilst Spurs will be without the suspended Scott Parker. Given their record against Spurs, United look outstanding value at 8/5 to win. It's 15/8 for the Spurs win. 3 of the last 4 meetings between the sides at White Hart Lane have ended in a draw, which merits attention at 9/4.

Both Teams Score - a Spurs v United game screams goals yet 2 of the last 3 fixtures between these sides at White Hart Lane have ended goalless. This is worth bearing in mind but a 0-0 repeat seems unlikely on current form. Spurs have scored in every home game this season, United have failed to score only once in all 26 Premier League games. United have conceded 8 in their last 4 away from home with both sides scoring in 3 of those. It's 8/13 that both teams score.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals - games at White Hart Lane this season average 3 goals. United's away games average 2.8 goals. The last 10 fixtures between the sides have averaged 2.7 goals per game. There is 4/5 available for over 2.5 goals. The unders are being offered at 21/20. It's worth noting that fixtures between the Premier League's current top 4 this season are averaging 5 goals per game. You can get 2/1 for over 3.5 goals and 5/1 for over 4.5 goals.

Goalscorers - Javier Hernandez has scored the first goal in 6 matches this season and he is 7/1 to do so again. You would want to check the line-ups on Sunday before backing him. Emmanuel Adebayor looks overpriced at Coral who offer 11/5 he scores anytime. If Rooney is fit he can be backed at 7/5 to score anytime. Of the outsiders, Assou-Ekotto can hit a ball and he's available at 18/1 to score anytime.

Picks: Both Teams Score, Over 2.5 Goals

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